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2013-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moreland * 40 5-12 1-3 3-4 13 0 1 5 1 14 20 -
R. Nelson * 36 6-18 2-8 6-7 4 2 1 0 2 20 7 -
D. Collier * 30 4-5 0-0 5-7 4 0 3 1 2 13 14 -
J. Burton * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Barton * 20 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Starks 26 3-10 2-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 8 3 -
V. Robbins 13 2-3 1-2 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
O. Schaftenaar 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Reid 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dinwiddie * 37 4-11 3-7 9-11 1 2 2 0 2 20 12 -
X. Johnson * 33 6-10 0-1 4-9 8 0 1 0 1 16 14 -
A. Booker * 29 1-9 1-4 4-4 3 4 1 0 2 7 4 -
A. Roberson * 25 4-7 1-1 3-4 7 1 0 0 5 12 8 -
J. Scott * 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 2 1 7 11 -
J. Adams 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
S. Harris-Tunks 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Chen 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 2 7 -
X. Talton 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter