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2012-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 1 1 7 21 -
A. Booker * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 19 23 -
S. Dinwiddie * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 11 15 -
S. Chen * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 9 -
J. Scott * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 11 -
X. Johnson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 7 10 -
S. Harris-Tunks 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 0 2 -
E. Stalzer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
X. Talton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 12 16 -
I. Austin * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 8 18 -
C. Jefferson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 0 17 29 -
B. Heslip * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
A.J. Walton * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 3 10 -
D. Bello 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 11 -
R. Gathers 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
G. Franklin 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L.J. Rose 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
T. Prince 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter