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2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +23 (76-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Singler * 29 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
A. Kazemi * 27 3-4 0-0 4-9 6 1 1 0 1 10 13 -
J. Loyd * 26 4-8 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 10 5 -
D. Dotson * 25 2-9 0-3 1-4 1 1 0 0 1 5 -3 -
T. Woods * 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
C. Emory 29 4-13 0-3 1-3 5 1 0 0 2 9 0 -
B. Carter 17 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 10 11 -
W. Austin 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 1 2 -
D. Artis 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -2 -
C. Baker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dinwiddie * 32 3-9 2-5 9-10 7 6 1 0 1 17 21 -
S. Chen * 32 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
A. Booker * 28 5-12 0-4 1-2 6 2 2 0 3 11 6 -
J. Scott * 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 4 8 -
X. Johnson * 22 7-7 3-3 5-6 3 0 0 0 2 22 16 -
J. Adams 23 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
S. Harris-Tunks 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
X. Talton 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
E. Stalzer 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
B. Mills 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Gamble 1 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter