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2013-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -1 (47-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 36 5-10 0-2 0-1 13 1 2 0 3 10 13 -
S. Dinwiddie * 34 3-9 0-2 2-3 0 4 0 1 4 8 0 -
J. Scott * 32 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 2 7 2 -
A. Booker * 22 3-13 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 -4 -
X. Johnson * 21 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
S. Chen 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 0 3 -
J. Adams 16 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
X. Talton 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Harris-Tunks 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Kazemi * 34 3-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 2 0 6 15 -
J. Loyd * 32 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 1 3 1 1 0 -1 -
E.J. Singler * 29 6-13 2-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 6 14 4 -
T. Woods * 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Dotson * 26 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -
C. Emory 26 6-13 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 1 3 14 7 -
W. Austin 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
W. Moore 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
B. Carter 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter