Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +10 (67-57). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vee Sanford * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Robinson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Khari Price | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Devon Scott | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Askia Booker * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Josh Scott * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sabatino Chen * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Xavier Johnson | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Shane Harris-Tunks | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eli Stalzer | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Talton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter