Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sanford * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Benson * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Dillard * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Pierre | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Price | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Derenbecker | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Scott | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Booker * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | - |
| J. Scott * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Chen * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| X. Johnson | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Stalzer | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| X. Talton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter