Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dinwiddie * | 38 | 8-20 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Booker * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Chen * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| X. Johnson | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Talton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Stalzer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Adams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gilling * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Felix * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Carson * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Bachynski * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| E. Gordon * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Colvin | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Jacobsen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Pateev | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Barnes | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter