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2013-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 82.6% 17.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Log Adjusted 68.2% 31.8% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 36 5-14 1-6 1-2 7 1 1 2 3 12 6 -
M. Lyons * 33 4-10 2-6 1-2 1 4 1 0 1 11 6 -
N. Johnson * 32 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 4 9 9 -
K. Tarczewski * 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
B. Ashley * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
K. Parrom 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 4 4 -
A. Chol 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
G. Jerrett 13 1-2 1-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Mayes 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dinwiddie * 36 5-9 2-5 9-9 0 7 0 0 2 21 17 -
A. Roberson * 34 3-8 1-1 0-1 13 0 2 1 2 7 13 -
A. Booker * 32 4-11 1-4 1-2 1 2 3 0 1 10 4 -
J. Scott * 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 6 10 -
X. Johnson * 27 7-9 4-5 1-2 9 1 0 0 2 19 18 -
S. Chen 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Harris-Tunks 10 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
X. Talton 7 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 6 4 -
J. Adams 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter