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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 35 0-4 0-0 0-1 1 5 4 0 2 0 4 -
J. Adams * 34 6-11 2-5 4-5 1 2 2 1 1 18 12 -
T. Wear * 33 11-17 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 23 10 -
K. Anderson * 30 3-3 0-0 6-6 10 5 1 0 3 12 22 -
S. Muhammad * 26 6-16 1-1 1-4 4 1 0 0 1 14 2 -
D. Wear 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 7 -
N. Powell 17 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
T. Parker 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dinwiddie * 36 9-16 2-6 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 23 10 -
A. Roberson * 35 2-4 0-2 1-2 12 2 2 0 5 5 12 -
J. Scott * 33 6-11 0-0 6-6 9 0 0 0 2 18 14 -
A. Booker * 31 6-16 2-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 18 5 -
X. Johnson * 22 2-5 1-3 3-5 2 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
S. Chen 26 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 3 2 0 2 2 6 -
J. Adams 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Harris-Tunks 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter