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2013-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 2 1 15 30 -
S. Dinwiddie * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 18 20 -
X. Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 13 -
A. Booker * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 12 10 -
J. Scott * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Adams 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
S. Chen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
X. Talton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 10 -
B. Mills 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
E. Stalzer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Harris-Tunks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 2 13 23 -
N. Johnson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 18 22 -
M. Lyons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 14 18 -
K. Tarczewski * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
K. Parrom * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
G. Jerrett 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 4 1 7 19 -
B. Ashley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 1 8 18 -
J. Mayes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
A. Chol 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter