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Butler

Also known as: Butler Bulldogs, Butler
Program History

2013 Team Stats (22 games)

68.0
PPG
63.9
Opp
+5.4
Margin
44.5%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
37.0
RPG
12.5
APG
13.7
TO
75.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1421 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1470 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1139 (#28) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +33.0 (#59) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +18.8 (#46) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.620 (#42) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.8 More → 0.689 (#54) NetEff +6.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.3 More → 0.787 (#28) AdjNet +11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.791 (#29) AdjNet +11.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.9 More → 0.670 (#46) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.860 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 36 More → 1297 (#24) RD 106 | GP 36

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Elon Phoenix W 74 - 59
2012-11-13 @ Xavier Musketeers L 47 - 62
2012-11-19 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 72 - 71
2012-11-20 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 82 - 71
2012-11-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 61 - 78
2012-11-27 vs Hanover Panthers W 97 - 73
2012-12-01 vs Ball State Cardinals W 67 - 53
2012-12-05 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 87 - 55
2012-12-08 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 65
2012-12-15 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 88 - 86
2012-12-22 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 75 - 67
2012-12-29 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 68 - 49
2013-01-02 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 70 - 57
2013-01-05 vs New Orleans Privateers W 57 - 44
2013-01-09 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 72 - 66
2013-01-12 @ Dayton Flyers W 79 - 73
2013-01-16 vs Richmond Spiders W 62 - 47
2013-01-19 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 64 - 63
2013-01-23 @ La Salle Explorers L 53 - 54
2013-01-26 vs Temple Owls W 83 - 71
2013-01-31 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 58 - 75
2013-02-02 vs Rhode Island Rams W 75 - 68
2013-02-06 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 77 - 58
2013-02-09 @ George Washington Colonials W 59 - 56
2013-02-13 vs Charlotte 49ers L 67 - 71
2013-02-16 @ Fordham Rams W 68 - 63
2013-02-19 vs Duquesne Dukes W 68 - 49
2013-02-22 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 61 - 65
2013-03-02 @ VCU Rams L 52 - 84
2013-03-07 @ UMass Minutemen W 73 - 62
2013-03-09 vs Xavier Musketeers W 67 - 62
2013-03-14 vs Dayton Flyers W 73 - 67
2013-03-15 @ La Salle Explorers W 69 - 58
2013-03-16 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 56 - 67
2013-03-21 vs Bucknell Bison W 68 - 56
2013-03-23 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 72 - 74

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Clarke R. Clarke G 33 33.3 16.9 2.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 2.8 9.2 11.2 208 6.3 8.5 38.6 37.8 89.4 1.76 84.2 50.7
A. Smith A. Smith C 35 27.5 11.3 6.1 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.2 5.3 13.5 97 1.4 2.7 48.9 25.6 73.3 0.61 82.9 51.6
R. Jones R. Jones F 36 30.8 10.1 5.6 3.5 0.9 0.5 2.9 6.4 11.4 147 4.1 6.0 48.3 0.0 57.0 1.75 63.7 48.3
K. Marshall K. Marshall F 36 21.7 9.6 4.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 4.8 9.6 48 1.3 2.7 59.1 0.0 54.0 0.24 87.1 59.1
K. Dunham K. Dunham G 36 26.1 9.5 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.0 4.8 8.2 185 5.1 7.8 37.6 36.8 83.1 1.85 84.8 48.8
K. Woods K. Woods F 36 17.0 4.5 4.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.1 2.2 8.1 73 2.0 4.1 50.0 33.3 65.7 0.1 85.4 50.6
E. Fromm E. Fromm F 35 11.3 3.4 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.1 38 1.1 3.3 41.0 31.4 50.0 0.04 91.7 50.0
A. Barlow A. Barlow G 35 19.4 2.3 2.7 1.9 1.2 0.2 1.2 1.3 5.7 69 2.0 4.2 46.8 29.6 79.2 0.43 69.5 55.3
C. Stigall C. Stigall G 36 10.2 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.3 2.3 -1 -0.0 -0.1 29.8 30.2 80.0 -0.36 67.1 43.6
A. Smeathers A. Smeathers F 19 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 -18 -0.9 -11.9 14.3 9.1 75.0 -0.25 60.3 17.9
J. Aldridge J. Aldridge G 23 6.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.6 1.3 8 0.3 1.5 14.3 20.0 100.0 -0.07 67.2 17.9
D. Morgan D. Morgan G 16 3.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 15 3.0 8.2 20.0 0.0 25.0 0.25 103.6 20.0
E. Kampen E. Kampen C 15 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 19 1.1 5.8 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
E. Kampen E. Kampen G 9 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 19 1.1 5.8 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG