Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| R. Clarke * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Smith * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 36 | - |
| A. Barlow * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Dunham | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| E. Fromm | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| C. Stigall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Woods | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hearn * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| J. Swopshire * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| A. Olah * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Turner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Demps | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Abrahamson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter