Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -9 (65-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Jones * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Rotnei Clarke * | 26 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Andrew Smith * | 26 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 25 | +12.5 |
| Alex Barlow * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Kellen Dunham | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Erik Fromm | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Chase Stigall | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -3.5 |
| Kameron Woods | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Devontae Morgan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Hearn * | 39 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Jared Swopshire * | 36 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Drew Crawford * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Alex Olah * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Tre Demps | 12 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Mike Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Kale Abrahamson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.2 |
* = starter