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Butler Bulldogs 73
@
UMass Minutemen 62
2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% - ✓
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 ✓ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - ✓

Actual: UMass Minutemen -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rotnei Clarke * 39 6-16 3-12 2-2 2 3 2 0 6 17 2 -
Andrew Smith * 37 2-8 0-1 9-13 15 3 0 0 0 13 23 -
Roosevelt Jones * 37 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 8 0 1 2 6 16 -
Khyle Marshall * 20 6-7 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 14 10 -
Kellen Dunham * 18 1-7 0-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Alex Barlow 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 4 0 2 4 8 -
Kameron Woods 21 7-11 0-0 3-3 3 0 1 0 0 17 10 -
Erik Fromm 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chase Stigall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams * 38 2-9 0-4 4-4 4 8 4 0 5 8 10 -
S. Carter * 32 3-6 1-3 5-6 4 2 2 1 3 12 12 -
F. Riley * 32 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
T. Vinson * 26 6-9 0-2 5-6 2 0 0 2 1 17 11 -
C. Lalanne 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 5 6 -
R. Putney 18 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
M. Esho 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Davis 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 6 6 -
T. Bergantino 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter