Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scaife * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Berry * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -2 | - |
| C. Bond * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Majok * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Z. Fields * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Posley | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Kamieniecki | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| B. Calhoun | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Ramey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Brogna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 37 | 5-18 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. Jones * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Smith * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Barlow | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| E. Fromm | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Woods | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Stigall | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Aldridge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Smeathers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kampen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kampen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter