Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +17 (75-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | -17.1 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Andrew Smith * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Alex Barlow * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | -17.0 |
| Kellen Dunham | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11.7 |
| Kameron Woods | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Erik Fromm | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Chase Stigall | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Devontae Morgan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Jackson Aldridge | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Andrew Smeathers | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwamain Mitchell * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Dwayne Evans * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +7.5 |
| Rob Loe * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Mike McCall Jr. * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Grandy Glaze * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Cody Ellis | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +13.5 |
| Jordair Jett | 23 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +16.9 |
| Jake Barnett | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +16.0 |
| Cory Remekun | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | +8.5 |
* = starter