Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +32 (87-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Gibbs * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -12.8 |
| John Hart * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | -14.0 |
| Mitch Patton * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -11.8 |
| P.J. Hubert * | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Greg Rice * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -19.3 |
| Sean Esposito | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -13.5 |
| Jordan Shanklin | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Lyonell Gaines | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -14.3 |
| Nick Kitcoff | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Cameron Loepker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.9 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 24 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +11.5 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -2 | +7.8 |
| Andrew Smith * | 19 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +9.6 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +8.8 |
| Alex Barlow * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Kellen Dunham | 21 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +17.0 |
| Erik Fromm | 16 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Jackson Aldridge | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Kameron Woods | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Chase Stigall | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Devontae Morgan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +6.6 |
| Andrew Smeathers | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Emerson Kampen | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Elliott Kampen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter