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2013-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 86.0% 14.0% -
Bradley-Terry 75.1% 24.9% -
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 39 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 5 7 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Olynyk * 27 5-12 0-1 4-5 7 2 2 1 1 14 13 -
E. Harris * 22 8-14 0-2 4-5 7 0 0 0 1 20 12 -
M. Hart * 15 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
S. Dower 24 8-11 2-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 2 20 10 -
D. Stockton 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Edi 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Barham 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Karnowski 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Dranginis 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Kampen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Dunham * 36 4-9 4-8 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 14 9 -
A. Smith * 33 3-5 1-2 0-2 7 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
A. Barlow * 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 6 2 0 3 5 10 -
R. Jones * 32 7-10 0-0 6-10 5 4 1 1 7 20 14 -
K. Marshall * 21 3-9 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 8 1 -
C. Stigall 17 2-3 2-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
E. Fromm 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
K. Woods 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Smeathers 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter