Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +1 (64-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Gary Bell Jr. * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -10.4 |
| Elias Harris * | 22 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Mike Hart * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Sam Dower | 24 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | -4.7 |
| David Stockton | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Guy Edi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Drew Barham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.3 |
| Przemek Karnowski | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Kyle Dranginis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Dunham * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +15.4 |
| Andrew Smith * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +23.4 |
| Alex Barlow * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 14 | +11.2 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Chase Stigall | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +9.4 |
| Erik Fromm | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kameron Woods | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Andrew Smeathers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.7 |
| Emerson Kampen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter