Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 20 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| R. Jones * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Smith * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Stigall | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Woods | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| E. Fromm | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Aldridge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Barlow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Paige * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| L. McDonald | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. James | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Simmons | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter