Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | La Salle Explorers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: La Salle Explorers +1 (54-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Dunham * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Andrew Smith * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +5.6 |
| Alex Barlow * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Khyle Marshall * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Kameron Woods | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Chase Stigall | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +1.1 |
| Erik Fromm | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Jackson Aldridge | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Devontae Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
La Salle Explorers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Duren * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +4.5 |
| Sam Mills * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +4.6 |
| D.J. Peterson * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Steve Zack * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Jerrell Wright * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Ramon Galloway | 34 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Tyrone Garland | 18 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +10.8 |
| Garvin Hunt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Rohan Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter