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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -19 (49-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke * 30 7-15 6-9 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 22 11 -
R. Jones * 24 2-6 0-0 2-4 6 3 0 0 0 6 9 -
A. Barlow * 23 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 3 2 0 2 6 10 -
K. Marshall * 23 4-5 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 1 0 9 16 -
A. Smith * 21 4-7 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
K. Dunham 26 4-8 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
K. Woods 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 9 0 0 1 4 4 8 -
E. Fromm 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
C. Stigall 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Morgan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Aldridge 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Kampen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Smeathers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Kampen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Odom * 31 1-9 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 4 1 -
K. Johnson * 31 3-10 1-3 2-5 2 4 0 0 2 9 3 -
K. Bright * 28 1-4 1-3 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
K. Fuller * 26 4-9 1-3 1-3 2 0 1 0 0 10 4 -
J. Henderson * 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 1 0 5 6 -
D. Parker 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
S. Moats 16 2-5 1-1 3-5 5 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
S. Jeter 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Siakam 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A.J. Astroth 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter