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Dayton Flyers 67
@
Butler Bulldogs 73
2013-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Margin 41.3% 58.7% +1.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - ✓

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 15 16 -
D. Pierre * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 12 18 -
J. Benson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 18 24 -
V. Sanford * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 11 14 -
D. Scott * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 3 6 -
J. Robinson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 4 14 -
K. Price 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Oliver 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
M. Derenbecker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jones * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 4 8 -
R. Clarke * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 21 25 -
A. Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 18 23 -
K. Dunham * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 9 16 -
K. Marshall * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 9 18 -
A. Barlow 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 5 -
K. Woods 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 0 3 14 -
E. Fromm 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
C. Stigall 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter