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Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

2012 Team Stats (12 games)

70.2
PPG
62.4
Opp
+7.8
Margin
45.5%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
66.1%
FT%
38.9
RPG
12.4
APG
13.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
61.9
Adj Opp PPG
#49
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1301 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1204 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1104 (#47) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +9.7 (#48) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.3 (#43) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.676 (#87) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.2 More โ†’ 0.853 (#47) AdjNet +15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.4 More โ†’ 0.855 (#47) AdjNet +15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.693 (#49) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 62.5 More โ†’ 0.645 (#51) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.775 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.767 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1240 (#32) RD 93 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Morgan State Bears W 74 - 63
2011-11-15 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 86 - 63
2011-11-18 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 66 - 60
2011-11-25 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 70 - 56
2011-11-28 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 82 - 70
2011-12-03 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 66 - 63
2011-12-07 @ Butler Bulldogs W 73 - 61
2011-12-10 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 76 - 53
2011-12-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 42 - 64
2011-12-22 vs Long Beach State Beach L 58 - 68
2011-12-23 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 82 - 84
2011-12-25 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 87 - 77
2011-12-31 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 65 - 72
2012-01-04 @ La Salle Explorers L 70 - 80
2012-01-07 @ Fordham Rams W 67 - 59
2012-01-11 vs Duquesne Dukes W 78 - 50
2012-01-14 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 77 - 64
2012-01-18 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 68 - 55
2012-01-25 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 68 - 73
2012-01-28 @ Charlotte 49ers W 74 - 70
2012-02-01 @ George Washington Colonials W 59 - 58
2012-02-04 @ Memphis Tigers L 68 - 72
2012-02-08 vs Rhode Island Rams W 84 - 66
2012-02-18 vs Dayton Flyers W 86 - 83
2012-02-21 @ UMass Minutemen L 73 - 80
2012-02-25 vs Richmond Spiders W 65 - 57
2012-02-28 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 59 - 70
2012-03-03 vs Charlotte 49ers W 72 - 63
2012-03-09 vs Dayton Flyers W 70 - 69
2012-03-10 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 71 - 64
2012-03-11 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 56 - 67
2012-03-16 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 67 - 63
2012-03-18 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 70 - 58
2012-03-23 @ Baylor Bears L 70 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tu Holloway Tu Holloway G 32 36.8 17.2 3.7 5.0 1.6 0.1 2.9 5.2 19.5 78 26 3.0 3.7 41.2 34.4 88.4 3.09 128.6 47.6
Mark Lyons Mark Lyons G 32 31.9 14.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.3 2.2 6.2 14.0 87 25 3.5 4.8 46.2 45.5 78.9 2.99 107.4 53.8
Kenny Frease Kenny Frease C 34 25.0 10.6 6.3 1.1 0.3 1.2 2.0 4.3 13.0 63 26 2.4 4.2 52.4 0 56.1 1.73 104.3 52.4
Dez Wells Dez Wells G 30 26.1 9.9 5.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 1.3 4.1 11.6 38 25 1.5 2.6 54.0 36.0 65.2 0.6 102.6 57.7
Andre Walker Andre Walker F 34 28.2 5.3 5.9 1.9 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.4 10.9 14 26 0.5 0.9 47.0 0.0 54.8 -0.18 92.6 47.0
Travis Taylor Travis Taylor F 34 14.6 4.6 3.7 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.1 6.2 13 26 0.5 1.7 41.4 0 57.1 0.15 88.2 41.4
Jeff Robinson Jeff Robinson F 34 13.6 3.5 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 4.7 48 26 1.8 6.4 60.0 0 57.1 2.65 98.1 60.0
Brad Redford Brad Redford G 33 10.8 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.6 -3 25 -0.1 -0.6 34.9 30.0 75.0 -1.88 104.6 48.8
Justin Martin Justin Martin F 29 12.0 3.0 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.7 4.7 17 24 0.7 2.7 42.9 39.1 27.8 1.05 76.4 52.0
Dee Davis Dee Davis G 34 11.2 2.0 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.8 1.3 1.9 -18 25 -0.7 -3.5 34.9 30.8 55.6 -2.35 72.4 44.2
O'Neil Cooper O'Neil Cooper G 4 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.2 150.0 0.0
Griffin McKenzie Griffin McKenzie F 11 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 -16 6 -2.7 -56.3 0.0 0.0 0 -2.46 25.0 0.0
Greg Dougan Greg Dougan G 4 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0.0 -2.12 0.0 0
Landen Amos Landen Amos G 5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.12 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG