Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey McKnight * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| John Adams * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Gabe Knutson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| C.J. McCollum | 34 | 5-22 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Bailey | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Justin Maneri | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Holden Greiner | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Stefan Cvrkalj | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin McKenzie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tu Holloway * | 39 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 34 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dee Davis | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Justin Martin | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad Redford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter