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Xavier Musketeers 68
@
Memphis Tigers 72
2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Tigers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Holloway * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 1 12 20 -
A. Walker * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 7 16 -
D. Wells * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 19 26 -
K. Frease * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 1 10 21 -
B. Redford * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Lyons 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 14 18 -
T. Taylor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Robinson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Black * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 13 20 -
W. Barton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 13 20 -
C. Crawford * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 6 -
A. Barton * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 9 11 -
F. Hall * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
J. Jackson 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 3 1 3 14 26 -
W. Witherspoon 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 12 13 -
D. Stephens 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Simpson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter