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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 โœ“ (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +28 (78-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Johnson * 31 5-13 0-3 2-3 6 3 2 0 2 12 8 -
T.J. McConnell * 29 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 4 4 -
Eric Evans * 27 3-6 0-2 1-3 3 3 1 0 1 7 7 -
Andre Marhold * 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 4 0 7 13 -
Kadeem Pantophlet 21 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Mike Talley 20 0-5 0-3 3-5 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Mamadou Datt 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Danny Herrera 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
P.J. Torres 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Derrick Martin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Lyons * 32 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 2 1 -
Tu Holloway * 32 4-9 1-3 2-2 3 11 1 0 1 11 16 -
Dez Wells * 24 7-7 1-1 1-2 9 0 1 1 1 16 19 -
Andre Walker * 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 7 -
Kenny Frease * 13 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 2 0 11 14 -
Jeff Robinson 20 5-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 3 12 10 -
Brad Redford 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Justin Martin 16 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 4 7 3 -
Travis Taylor 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Dee Davis 11 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Griffin McKenzie 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter