Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | -13.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.7% | 8.3% | -13.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -8 (59-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Walker * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Tu Holloway * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brad Redford | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dee Davis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin Martin | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Gaston * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Bryan Smith * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kervin Bristol * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Branden Frazier * | 35 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Devon McMillan * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alberto Estwick | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Marvin Dominique | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lamount Samuell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Canty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter