Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nicholson * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Conger * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Wright * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Kloof * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Cook * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Mosley | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Y. Ndoye | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Gathers | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 26 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brad Redford | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dee Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Justin Martin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Landen Amos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O'Neil Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Griffin McKenzie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter