Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +23 (76-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dixon * | 37 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Y. Gates * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Kilpatrick * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| C. Wright * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Parker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Mbodj | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Guyn | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Gaines | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway * | 39 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| K. Frease * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| A. Walker * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - |
| D. Wells * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Martin | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Taylor | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Redford | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter