Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Travis Taylor * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Frease | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Brad Redford | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Justin Martin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dee Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 39 | - |
| S. Carter * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| R. Putney * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| F. Riley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Esho | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Farrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter