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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 2 0 5 13 19 -
R. Sacre * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 5 12 -
G. Bell Jr. * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 7 10 -
E. Harris * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 12 15 -
M. Hart * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 3 9 -
S. Dower 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 20 29 -
G. Edi 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 4 12 -
D. Stockton 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 6 8 -
M. Carter 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
R. Spangler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Walker * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 3 1 6 17 -
M. Lyons * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 4 0 0 15 21 -
T. Holloway * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 15 17 -
K. Frease * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 12 19 -
D. Wells * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
T. Taylor 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Davis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 3 5 -
J. Martin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 0 8 -
B. Redford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter