Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | -0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -7 (65-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gary Bell Jr. * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sam Dower | 22 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Guy Edi | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| David Stockton | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Spangler | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lyons * | 33 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Tu Holloway * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Justin Martin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dee Davis | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brad Redford | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter