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UCF

Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History

2010 Team Stats (3 games)

53.7
PPG
73.3
Opp
-19.7
Margin
34.5%
FG%
17.0%
3P%
62.3%
FT%
32.7
RPG
9.7
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#156
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1005 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 990 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 960 (#223) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.1 (#157) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +0.3 (#167) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.406 (#216) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.6 More โ†’ 0.546 (#155) AdjNet +1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.6 More โ†’ 0.547 (#155) AdjNet +1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.519 (#156) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.5 More โ†’ 0.479 (#191) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.498 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.490 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 31 More โ†’ 989 (#181) RD 132 | GP 31

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 vs UMass Minutemen W 84 - 67
2009-11-17 vs Howard Bison W 68 - 59
2009-11-20 @ Auburn Tigers W 84 - 74
2009-11-21 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 46 - 63
2009-11-22 vs Drake Bulldogs W 59 - 50
2009-11-28 vs Albany Great Danes W 76 - 72
2009-12-01 vs Newberry Indians W 80 - 62
2009-12-06 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 72 - 90
2009-12-12 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 63 - 50
2009-12-16 @ South Florida Bulls L 65 - 69
2009-12-20 @ UConn Huskies L 51 - 60
2009-12-29 vs Liberty Flames W 82 - 58
2009-12-30 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 51 - 61
2010-01-05 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 56 - 84
2010-01-09 vs Rice Owls W 77 - 58
2010-01-13 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 75 - 81
2010-01-16 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 70 - 90
2010-01-20 @ Houston Cougars W 78 - 71
2010-01-23 vs UTEP Miners L 59 - 96
2010-01-27 @ SMU Mustangs L 43 - 65
2010-01-30 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 50 - 55
2010-02-02 @ East Carolina Pirates W 67 - 56
2010-02-10 @ Memphis Tigers L 70 - 76
2010-02-13 vs Tulane Green Wave W 62 - 54
2010-02-16 vs Houston Cougars W 68 - 65
2010-02-20 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 58 - 68
2010-02-24 vs UAB Blazers L 49 - 53
2010-02-27 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 115 - 121
2010-03-02 vs East Carolina Pirates L 66 - 68
2010-03-06 @ Rice Owls W 66 - 59
2010-03-10 @ SMU Mustangs W 69 - 53
2010-03-11 @ UTEP Miners L 54 - 76

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.