Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 34 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 29 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| M. Jordan | 28 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Diakite | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Clanton | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| I. Sosa | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis | 39 | 3-16 | 2-11 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Coleman | 38 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 16-18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| D. Wade | 33 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. McNeil | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Brown | 20 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| S. Coleman | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Broughton | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Washington | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Van Slyke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Haywood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter