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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (6.7 off)
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -

Actual: UCF Knights +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 38 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 8 10 -
W. Harris 35 11-18 0-3 1-1 5 0 3 0 2 23 11 -
F. Urli 29 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
B. Metcalf 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 2 5 -
T. Ambrose 28 8-17 1-3 8-8 1 1 0 0 3 25 7 -
L. Aronhalt 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. McRae 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Lindfors 8 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
D. Tartt 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Gifford 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Black 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Allen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Rompza 35 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 9 8 -
D. Diakite 29 7-11 1-2 6-7 8 1 2 1 2 21 20 -
I. Sosa 29 5-9 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 13 5 -
T. Young 25 2-6 0-1 6-7 3 4 0 0 0 10 11 -
K. Clanton 25 3-8 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 2 2 8 6 -
P.J. Gaynor 22 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Jordan 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 6 4 -
A.J. Tyler 14 2-7 0-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 6 1 -
J. Kusmieruk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter