Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +9 (59-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Simons | 31 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Young | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Wedel | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Templeton | 22 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Hawley | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. VanDeest | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| F. Wiseler | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Stanley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| I. Sosa | 33 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Clanton | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Diakite | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Young | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Jordan | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kusmieruk | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Garcia | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Speraw | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter