Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | +13.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (76-70). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 37 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Jordan | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Clanton | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Taylor Young | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Sosa | 17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Diakite | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Williams | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Sallie | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Mack | 27 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| W. Kemp | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DJ Stephens | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Will Coleman | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Barham | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Angel Garcia | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter