Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 37 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Jordan | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Clanton | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| T. Young | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Sosa | 17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Diakite | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Sallie | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Mack | 27 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| W. Kemp | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Stephens | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| W. Coleman | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Barham | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Garcia | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter