Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +22 (65-43). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A.J. Tyler * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| David Diakite * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Young | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Sosa | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Speraw | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jakub Kusmieruk | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Williams * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Nyakundi * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Walker * | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Dia * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Justin Haynes * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Paul McCoy | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Myles Luttman | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Mouhammad Faye | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Barbre | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Otis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter