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2009-12-20

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 15.4% 84.6% -
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +9 (60-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jordan 28 5-10 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 13 8 -
K. Clanton 28 3-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 7 4 -
A.J. Tyler 27 5-12 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 12 4 -
I. Sosa 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
T. Young 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 1 -
D. Diakite 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 0 4 2 7 -
A.J. Rompza 21 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 0 -
P.J. Gaynor 19 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 -
J. Kusmieruk 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Speraw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker 39 2-8 1-3 3-4 4 8 2 0 4 8 10 -
G. Edwards 34 1-1 0-0 3-4 11 0 2 7 1 5 23 -
J. Dyson 28 5-15 4-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 16 5 -
S. Robinson 28 9-13 1-3 7-11 5 0 1 0 1 26 18 -
A. Oriakhi 24 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 4 1 0 4 -
D. Beverly 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
A. Majok 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 1-4 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
J. Trice 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter