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2009-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 4.1% 95.9% -
Bradley-Terry 15.7% 84.3% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (23.3 off)
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -

Actual: UCF Knights -10 (51-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 38 5-11 3-7 7-10 2 6 1 0 1 20 17 -
T. Cohn 31 3-7 3-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
T. Galvin 24 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
A. Hardy 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 0 4 -
L. Colbert 21 3-6 2-2 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 9 9 -
G. Powell 18 3-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 2 2 1 8 11 -
R. Powell 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
W. Alston 13 0-3 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
S. Lukasiak 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
C. Edwards 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
C. Rozier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Sosa 33 4-9 2-5 2-4 2 0 1 0 3 12 3 -
A.J. Tyler 31 2-11 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 6 -4 -
A.J. Rompza 30 1-2 0-1 5-6 2 4 2 0 2 7 11 -
K. Clanton 29 3-8 1-1 3-3 11 1 1 2 4 10 13 -
M. Jordan 21 1-3 0-2 1-4 6 1 1 0 1 3 7 -
T. Young 21 1-6 0-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 4 0 -
D. Diakite 19 2-4 0-0 3-7 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
P.J. Gaynor 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Kusmieruk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Speraw 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter