Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan | 35 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| I. Sosa | 24 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Clanton | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Diakite | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams | 40 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Haynes | 33 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Clinkscales | 27 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| P. Dia | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Faye | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Otis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Harp | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Luttman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter