Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 25 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Clanton | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Young | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Jordan | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Diakite | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| I. Sosa | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Kusmieruk | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Garcia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Sullivan | 37 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 10-10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| D. Reed | 35 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 31 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| E. Ross | 27 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Lett | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Malone | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Knox | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Williams | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wallace | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Chubb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter