Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 40 | 8-24 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | - |
| K. Washington | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| K. Lewis | 30 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Wade | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. McNeil | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Coleman | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Haywood | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Rompza | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Clanton | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Jordan | 33 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| I. Sosa | 20 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Young | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Diakite | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter