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South Alabama Jaguars

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: South Alabama
Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

67.1
PPG
68.1
Opp
-1.0
Margin
40.5%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
67.8%
FT%
40.1
RPG
13.2
APG
19.8
TO
87.0
Pace
66.0
AdjO
66.6
AdjD
#174
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1059 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 956 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 984 (#431) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.4 (#170) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +14.5 (#142) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.500 (#171) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.6 More → 0.448 (#185) NetEff -1.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.496 (#170) AdjNet -0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.496 (#170) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.487 (#174) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.583 (#142) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.736 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.710 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 34 More → 986 (#215) RD 105 | GP 34

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ UAB Blazers W 91 - 68
2025-11-11 vs Memphis Tigers L 68 - 76
2025-11-14 vs North Florida Ospreys W 83 - 46
2025-11-20 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 70 - 63
2025-11-30 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 75 - 54
2025-12-04 @ Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 80 - 82
2025-12-07 @ Florida Gators L 61 - 75
2025-12-14 vs North Alabama Lions W 70 - 58
2025-12-18 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles L 65 - 84
2025-12-20 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 61 - 74
2026-01-01 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 44 - 61
2026-01-03 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 81 - 56
2026-01-08 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 67 - 107
2026-01-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 59 - 63
2026-01-22 vs Georgia State Panthers L 75 - 78
2026-01-24 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 46 - 69
2026-01-29 @ App State Mountaineers L 57 - 60
2026-01-31 @ James Madison Dukes L 52 - 88
2026-02-04 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 60 - 69
2026-02-07 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 67 - 73
2026-02-12 vs Texas State Bobcats L 63 - 69
2026-02-14 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 54 - 57
2026-02-18 @ Troy Trojans L 73 - 84
2026-02-21 @ Texas State Bobcats W 64 - 59
2026-02-25 vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 57 - 43
2026-02-27 vs Troy Trojans W 76 - 69
2026-03-03 vs App State Mountaineers W 68 - 57
2026-03-04 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 80 - 70
2026-03-05 @ Texas State Bobcats W 69 - 59
2026-03-06 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 73 - 58
2026-03-07 @ James Madison Dukes L 54 - 79
2026-03-21 @ Alcorn State Lady Braves W 73 - 65
2026-03-24 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 72 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Sutton A. Sutton G 33 27.4 11.7 1.8 1.6 1.3 0.1 2.5 11.3 2.8 -48 -2.2 -3.3 35.6 30.1 67.1 0.28 47.2 44.4
Chaze Harris Chaze Harris F 33 26.4 10.9 8.6 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.6 8.7 12.2 -13 -0.6 -2.1 54.2 23.5 51.8 0.12 55.3 54.9
D. Gonzalez D. Gonzalez F 33 34.8 9.7 4.9 2.7 1.2 0.5 3.1 8.7 7.2 -88 -3.7 -5.4 35.5 36.1 65.9 0.21 49.1 45.5
T. Ortiz T. Ortiz G 32 25.6 9.3 3.0 2.4 1.1 0.1 3.3 8.2 4.3 -68 -3.2 -6.3 32.4 28.5 77.3 -0.74 47.2 39.1
D. Carter-Hartley D. Carter-Hartley F 34 28.8 8.9 6.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 2.4 7.9 8.9 -25 -1.1 -2.0 40.7 31.6 68.4 2.61 49.9 46.5
C. Narcisse C. Narcisse G 33 27.0 8.1 5.0 2.2 1.1 0.3 3.6 6.7 6.5 -34 -1.5 -2.8 41.2 36.1 77.1 0.59 52.0 46.2
R. Marc R. Marc G 33 16.0 4.5 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.2 2.7 -58 -2.6 -6.9 42.3 33.3 70.3 0.46 48.3 44.5
J. Baines J. Baines F 11 5.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.4 -10 -1.1 -7.9 48.4 57.1 66.7 -0.56 56.5 54.8
A. Spann A. Spann C 34 10.6 3.3 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.9 2.6 3.1 -58 -2.8 -12.4 52.3 0.0 65.5 -1.16 55.1 52.3
M. Holmes M. Holmes G 5 6.6 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 30 4.3 14.4 83.3 0 50.0 3.12 79.9 83.3
P. Okafor Nweze P. Okafor Nweze F 12 7.4 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.9 -14 -1.2 -6.8 55.6 0 30.8 -1.62 47.6 55.6
A. Mangas A. Mangas G 16 7.6 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.7 1.1 19 1.4 9.1 25.9 19.0 0 -0.55 33.3 33.3
C. Donnell C. Donnell G 10 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 -0.2 -1 -0.1 -1.0 11.1 0.0 100.0 -0.55 27.9 11.1
T. Coffil T. Coffil G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Saneea Bevley Saneea Bevley G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG