Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M Rattlers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +22.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +21 (75-54). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaniyah McCarthy * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -9.4 |
| Tahnyjia Purifoy * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 8 | -7.6 |
| Miya Giles-Jones * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -8.2 |
| Jordan Boddie * | 20 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7 | +1.5 |
| Breazia Robinson * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +9.0 |
| ZaNaria Robinson | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -17.4 |
| Aina Subirats | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -1.3 |
| April Hooks | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -9.0 |
| Zana Justice | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Thailan Payne | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5.4 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrysta Narcisse * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | +12.1 |
| Daniela Gonzalez * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Cordasia Harris * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Amyah Sutton * | 21 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Ronaltha Marc * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Diawna Carter-Hartley | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Tamara Ortiz | 21 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Alicia Spann | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Princess Okafor Nweze | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Chloe Donnell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Jeriyah Baines | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +1.3 |
| Aroa Mangas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Miyah Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
* = starter