Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | -17.3 | ✗ (24.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -9.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +7 (76-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Baez * | 36 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -7.4 |
| Zay Dyer * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -7.0 |
| Fortuna Ngnawo * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -2.3 |
| Rachel Leggett * | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Emani Jenkins * | 24 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -6 | -5.3 |
| Saniya Jackson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -21.0 |
| Leilani Guion | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -24.0 |
| Detavia Salter | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Kamesha Moore | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.4 |
| Shakirah Edwards | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -10.5 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniela Gonzalez * | 40 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +17.9 |
| Chrysta Narcisse * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | +9.7 |
| Amyah Sutton * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Diawna Carter-Hartley * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Alicia Spann * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +5.6 |
| Cordasia Harris | 31 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 24 | +13.9 |
| Tamara Ortiz | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +27.8 |
| Ronaltha Marc | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +7.9 |
* = starter