Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -8 (68-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamya Smith * | 32 | 9-24 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Chae Harris * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Cori Allen * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hunter * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Paris Gaines * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Daejah Richmond | 29 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kennedi Alexander | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bailey Gilmore | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Amauri Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaltha Marc * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Cordasia Harris * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Daniela Gonzalez * | 26 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Amyah Sutton * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Chrysta Narcisse * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tamara Ortiz | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Diawna Carter-Hartley | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alicia Spann | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jeriyah Baines | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Princess Okafor Nweze | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Miyah Holmes | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter