Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +3.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +11 (68-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Smith * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Daisia Mitchell * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jada Burton * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Elena Pericic * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| F. Atili * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Zoe McCrary | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Riley Stoker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Emily Hege | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jayden McBride | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Addie Biel | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniela Gonzalez * | 37 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chrysta Narcisse * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Amyah Sutton * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Diawna Carter-Hartley * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alicia Spann * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cordasia Harris | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Tamara Ortiz | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ronaltha Marc | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter