Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +37 (83-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Washington | 32 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -18.9 |
| E. Blatchford | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -24.4 |
| D. McGill | 23 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -26.5 |
| J. Stinson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -13.0 |
| K. Pierre | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -14.4 |
| G. Buzzetti | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7.8 |
| N. Carreno | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| M. Verbeeten | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -17.8 |
| A. Waldon | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | -14.5 |
| A. Knauff | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -22.8 |
| C. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gonzalez | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +25.3 |
| C. Narcisse | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +21.6 |
| C. Harris | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +10.0 |
| R. Marc | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +13.5 |
| A. Sutton | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.8 |
| D. Carter-Hartley | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +32.6 |
| T. Ortiz | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +13.9 |
| A. Spann | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +21.3 |
| M. Holmes | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +13.5 |
| J. Baines | 9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +0.3 |
| C. Donnell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +2.3 |
| A. Mangas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.7 |
| P. Okafor Nweze | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter