Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +37 (83-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Washington | 32 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -21.3 |
| Elle Blatchford | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -21.8 |
| Dezuray McGill | 23 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -18.8 |
| Jamisyn Stinson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Karyzma Pierre | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -18.2 |
| Georgi Buzzetti | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -15.3 |
| Nicole Carreno | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Megan Verbeeten | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -19.0 |
| Alonya Waldon | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | -6.8 |
| Abby Knauff | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Claire Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniela Gonzalez | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +17.2 |
| Chrysta Narcisse | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +21.2 |
| Cordasia Harris | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Ronaltha Marc | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +14.3 |
| Amyah Sutton | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Diawna Carter-Hartley | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +26.2 |
| Tamara Ortiz | 14 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +13.8 |
| Alicia Spann | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +25.0 |
| Miyah Holmes | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Jeriyah Baines | 9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Chloe Donnell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Aroa Mangas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Princess Okafor Nweze | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
* = starter