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South Alabama Jaguars

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: South Alabama Jaguars
Program History
Coach: Richie Riley

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.9
PPG
70.4
Opp
+4.5
Margin
46.7%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
66.3%
FT%
35.3
RPG
12.0
APG
8.6
TO
75.1
Pace
70.7
AdjO
73.7
AdjD
#208
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1027 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1021 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 997 (#299) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -3.3 (#213) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +13.3 (#177) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.576 (#128) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.2 More → 0.717 (#103) NetEff +9.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.391 (#210) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.388 (#209) AdjNet -3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.432 (#208) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 73.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.565 (#159) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.740 (#186) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.707 (#185) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 32 More → 1089 (#147) RD 125 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Toledo Rockets W 76 - 74
2025-11-06 vs Alcorn State Braves W 76 - 70
2025-11-08 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 99 - 50
2025-11-13 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 66 - 64
2025-11-15 @ Coppin State Eagles W 72 - 62
2025-11-19 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 71 - 65
2025-11-21 @ UAB Blazers L 72 - 80
2025-11-30 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 82 - 58
2025-12-02 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 77 - 75
2025-12-05 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 65 - 91
2025-12-14 vs North Texas Mean Green L 57 - 58
2025-12-17 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 96 - 92
2025-12-20 @ Texas State Bobcats L 65 - 67
2025-12-29 vs Mobile Rams W 85 - 52
2025-12-31 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 63 - 58
2026-01-03 @ Troy Trojans L 49 - 59
2026-01-10 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 87 - 71
2026-01-15 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 91 - 87
2026-01-22 @ James Madison Dukes W 90 - 83
2026-01-24 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 80 - 84
2026-01-29 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 53 - 48
2026-01-31 vs Georgia State Panthers W 69 - 67
2026-02-04 @ App State Mountaineers L 57 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Buffalo Bulls W 81 - 69
2026-02-12 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 84 - 78
2026-02-14 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 92 - 88
2026-02-19 vs Texas State Bobcats L 82 - 90
2026-02-21 vs Troy Trojans W 65 - 54
2026-02-25 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 89 - 54
2026-02-27 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 55 - 68
2026-03-06 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 85 - 94
2026-03-17 @ Auburn Tigers L 67 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Harris C. Harris - 32 31.8 19.2 4.9 5.0 1.6 0.3 3.2 13.5 14.3 106 4.8 7.2 53.4 15.4 59.7 0.57 56.7 53.8
Adam Olsen Adam Olsen - 30 35.9 16.9 3.9 1.0 1.0 0.1 1.0 12.8 9.2 80 3.8 4.9 40.2 39.6 83.9 0.24 58.2 53.1
Peyton Law Peyton Law - 10 25.5 12.8 5.9 1.0 0.5 0.7 0.9 8.5 11.5 72 7.2 12.3 64.7 0.0 75.0 0.49 67.0 64.7
J. Cooper J. Cooper - 32 30.2 11.4 2.6 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.8 10.0 5.4 124 5.6 9.2 40.8 33.5 67.6 -0.33 51.8 49.2
S. Williams S. Williams - 32 15.8 6.5 4.7 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.2 4.1 8.1 73 3.3 7.5 66.9 0 66.0 0.22 68.1 66.9
R. Brady R. Brady - 32 27.0 5.5 5.7 1.9 1.4 0.3 1.0 3.6 10.2 79 3.2 6.0 45.2 35.6 65.8 0.1 59.1 54.3
H. Louis-Jeune H. Louis-Jeune - 32 23.7 5.2 3.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 4.8 4.7 - - - 35.1 28.4 74.3 - 48.7 45.1
JJ Wheat JJ Wheat - 32 13.2 3.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.5 -32 -1.5 -6.0 47.7 41.7 46.0 -0.92 50.9 50.6
Brian Hawthorne Brian Hawthorne - 20 10.3 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.8 2.5 2.5 15 0.9 3.9 31.4 33.3 68.0 -0.42 42.7 35.3
J. Broom J. Broom - 30 14.9 2.2 2.7 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.8 4.1 43 1.9 10.8 45.5 33.3 80.0 -0.24 57.7 56.4
M. Land M. Land - 4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 -4 -4.0 -69.6 50.0 50.0 0 -0.07 75.0 75.0
Samuel Shoptaw Samuel Shoptaw G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Desmond Williams Desmond Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 9 0.8 8.3 - - - 0.05 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG