Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harris | 40 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 5 | +2.4 |
| A. Olsen | 39 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +2.1 |
| H. Louis-Jeune | 35 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.7 |
| J. Cooper | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -7.4 |
| R. Brady | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| S. Williams | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | +2.9 |
| JJ Wheat | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.9 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | -8.9 |
| K. Gumbs | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +3.1 |
| D. Hall | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -2.9 |
| K. Davis | 25 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +6.4 |
| J. Bolden | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +2.8 |
| F. Emmou | 21 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +2.1 |
| R. Fields | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +3.1 |
| M. Willis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.9 |
| T. Sant | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Lee | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter