Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Olsen | 38 | 2-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Cooper | 38 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Brady | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Broom | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Harris | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| JJ Wheat | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Louis-Jeune | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tot | 39 | 8-18 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | - |
| K. Jennings | 38 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Dodd | 38 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| L. Wilson | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| E. Banks | 32 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Moodie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Brim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter