Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McDaniels * | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -6.9 |
| T. Roberts * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | +2.6 |
| D. Williams * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -5.9 |
| N. Woodard * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | -6.5 |
| M. Jones * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.2 |
| S. Lancaster | 32 | 8-17 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | +6.1 |
| J. Morris | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +10.0 |
| O. Hamilton | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.0 |
| J. Ellis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.3 |
| B. Calamese | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | -2.1 |
| P. Law * | 38 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | +1.6 |
| A. Olsen * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +5.8 |
| R. Brady * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -3.3 |
| C. Harris * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | +9.0 |
| H. Louis-Jeune | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.9 |
| JJ Wheat | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.7 |
| B. Hawthorne | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.3 |
| S. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| J. Broom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
* = starter